Draftkings Head To Head Strategy

11.03.2021by
  1. Draftkings Strategy Nfl
  2. Draftkings Head To Head Strategy Position

When it comes to daily fantasy NBA lineup construction, a huge chasm separates cash games from large-field NBA tournaments. If you use the same draft strategy across both categories, you’re almost guaranteed to see poor results. Cash games and tournaments are different animals. They need to be treated as such.

If you’re new to daily fantasy sports, you might be wondering what the term “cash games” means. We’re referring to double-ups (50/50s) and head-to-heads (H2Hs). In such contests, half the field wins – typically twice the buy-in less the fantasy site’s rake.

Cash games are often neglected by novice daily fantasy players. Most newbies are drawn to the 6-figure prize pools that are up for grabs in large-field tournaments at FanDuel and DraftKings. The irony is that double-ups and head-to-heads are easier to win. The key is knowing how to leverage the quirks posed by those two contest formats.

That’s what you’ll learn on this page. Read on for 7 actionable tips for building fantasy basketball lineups that trounce your competition in cash games.

You would be better served playing in 10, $1 heads up matches than one $10 double up if you end up with a ‘mediocre’ lineup. You’ll win some of your HU matches but would likely lose on a big 50/50 event. Put these 7 tips into action tonight at DraftKings. Legal, legit and a ton of fun. Read my daily fantasy sports sites reviews for more info.

Head to Heads are always a piece of the portfolio for successful DFS players, especially the top 1 percent. Even if you’re a high-risk, high-reward player with a focus on larger paydays, H2H contests can provide stability to your bankroll and help keep you afloat during even the roughest of cold streaks.

#1 – Focus On Creating A High-Floor Lineup

  1. There you will find my complete betting card, as well as my head-to-head play of the week. My premium head-to-head selections have gone an impressive (78-37-7), netting nearly 45 units of profit.
  2. This rule refers to a bankroll strategy that puts 80 percent of your money for the week in cash games (50/50s, double ups and head-to-heads) and 20 percent of your weekly money in high volatility, large-field tournaments like GPPs and qualifiers, with your total amount of money in play for the week never exceeding 10 percent of your bankroll.
  3. Below you can see Awesemo’s NHL DFS Top Stacks Tool for today’s slate. If you’re interested in other premium content, head over to Awesemo’s NHL Projections and NHL Ownership Projections. For FREE DraftKings and FanDuel NHL DFS content, including FREE MLB DFS Strategy shows on our YouTube and podcast platforms, NHL DFS cheatsheets, and NHL picks, check out our NHL home page!
  4. Head-to-head offers more safety IMO, but also limits your upside as you will likely not sweep 100% of your h2h’s. I would be interested to see which is more profitable (taking the all or nothing approach in 50/50’s and double-ups or taking less upside for less risk in head-to-heads).

The ideal roster for fantasy NBA cash games is one that has a high floor. The floor gives you a sense of security. It gives you confidence that your lineup will post a minimum number of points.

The floor isn’t etched in stone, of course. It’s based on projections, which, in turn, are based on data. The more data you have, the more confident you can be in your projections. The idea is to build an element of safety into your roster, thereby lowering your risk.

You need to draft high-floor players who have solid track records. You’re not interested in guys who post 30 points one night, and 10 points the following night. You want predictability. You need players whom you can count on to be productive.

#2 – Build Upon A Solid Foundation

In the same way a house must be built on a strong foundation, so too should your NBA daily fantasy roster. That means finding a few highly-skilled starters who play a significant number of minutes in each game. Not coincidentally, you’ll find that those same starters usually turn in solid performances night after night.

Most of the players who fit that bill are studs. Here, we’re talking about guys like LeBron James, Curry, Trae Young, Anthony Davis etc. If they’re playing, you can count on them to deliver points.

Note that studs tend to command high salaries. But assuming they play a lot of minutes, they’ll usually give you your money’s worth.

#3 – Look For Site-Specific Scoring Opportunities

The two largest daily fantasy sites are FanDuel and DraftKings. There are slight differences in the way both sites award points in basketball contests. For example, DraftKings gives you a bonus if one of your players scores a double-double or triple-double.

Think about how you might exploit that aspect of DK’s scoring system.

Suppose you need a center and you’re trying to decide between Jokic, Towns and Adebayo. You notice that Adebayo has not only logged 40+ fantasy points per game, but also ranks high in rebounds. By putting him in your lineup, you stand a good chance of earning extra points on DraftKings for a double-double.

Keep your eyes open for similar opportunities afforded by your favorite fantasy site’s scoring system. They could give you the edge you need to finish in the top half of your field.

#4 – Watch Out For Blowouts

Blowouts can be a boon if you’re competing in a guaranteed prize pool tournament. But they’re bad for business if you’re playing double-ups and head-to-heads.

Here’s the reason…

In a GPP event, you have to take risks if you want to win. Picking the same starters as everyone else only ensures you’ll post a similar score. You need to stand out from the pack. One strategy is to use Vegas odds to identify predicted blowouts, and then draft bench players from the favored teams in the hopes those players will get more floor time. More time equals more scoring opportunities.

Why might those bench players receive more time on the court? Because the starters are likely to be pulled early from the games.

It’s a risky strategy. There’s no way to tell when a starter might be pulled. Consequently, there’s no way to tell how many minutes the bench player who replaces him might get to play. But in a GPP, taking risks comes with the territory.

In a cash game, that’s a terrible approach. Remember, you want a high level of predictability. That’s why you build your roster on a strong foundation made up of a few studs. The problem is, in a blowout, those studs are likely to get pulled, reducing your roster’s scoring opportunities.

The lesson? Avoid blowouts when you’re competing in cash games. You can learn more about using Vegas odds to help you identify value here.

#5 – Pay Up For Scoring Consistency

This tip is an extension of a point I’ve danced around thus far: you don’t need to take as many risks in 50/50s and H2Hs as you need to take in GPPs. You’re not looking for players who might unexpectedly turn in a show-stopping performance. On the contrary, you’re looking for guys who are consistent on the floor.

Draftkings Head To Head Strategy

For example, consider Anthony Davis. He tends to play 35+ minutes in each game. When he’s on the court, he tends to fire off a fair number of field goals and sink more than half. He’s also consistent in rebounds and blocks.

If you add Davis to your roster, you can be relatively certain he’ll produce. His track indicates as much.

Now take a look at Mike Conley. He’s a good player, but far less consistent than Davis. His number of minutes played falls across a broader range; he fires fewer field goals and is less consistent in making them; and while he can be an effective rebounder, his production in that area is irregular, and thus unreliable.

Conley might make a good pick for a large-field tournament. If he has an awesome night, he could carry your roster to the top of the field. But he poses too much risk in a cash game, where consistency and predictability are your friends.

#6 – Check For Last-Minute Starter Injuries

Injuries happen a lot more often in professional basketball than many fantasy team owners realize. If you neglect to check for last-minute injuries, you might see one of your starters warming the bench come game time. That’s a disaster if you’re competing in a 50/50 or head-to-head.

For example, suppose you drafted Zion Williamson for tonight’s game against the Utah Jazz. He currently has a jammed left thumb and bruised right hand. The NBA injury list mentions that Williams plans to keep both of his hands on ice so he can TRY to play tonight.

That’s a huge gamble. If it turns out that he’s unable to take the floor, your roster will suffer.

Make sure you’re aware of the latest player injuries going into the evening’s tip-off. It only takes a moment to check the most recently-updated injury list.

#7 – Realize That Not Every Value Play Is A Bargain

If you’re going to put a few studs on your roster (ref. to tip #2), you’ll need to pick up a few value plays as well. That’s the only way to build your lineup under the salary cap. The challenge is being able to distinguish between players who offer real value and players who only appear to do so.

What constitutes “real value” in daily fantasy basketball? The 2 biggest factors are salary and scoring consistency.

Draftkings head to head strategy position

In order for a player to qualify as a value play, he must have a lower salary than is warranted by his track record. An example would be a player scheduled to replace a starter who was recently injured. If the fantasy site hasn’t yet adjusted the replacement’s salary to reflect the extra minutes he’ll have on the floor, he might pose a fantastic value. Lotsa slots club card promotions.

We’ve already covered scoring consistency and the reason it’s important in NBA cash games. But it’s worth adding a few additional notes.

First, don’t be bamboozled by the numbers listed in the “FPPG” column at FanDuel and DraftKings. They won’t tell you whether players are consistent from one game to the next.

For example, consider LaMarcus Aldridge of the Spurs. Over the last 10 games, he has scored between 10 and 37 points. That’s a huge gap. You don’t want him on your roster when he’s having an off night.

Of course, a player’s ability to sink a consistent number of field goals in each game isn’t the only thing to worry about in daily fantasy basketball. He might excel in rebounds, assists, steals and blocks. But a quick glance at Aldridge’s rebounds over the last 10 games shows a similar lack of consistency.

Not every value play is a good bargain.

A lot of novice daily fantasy team owners mistakenly assume that a low salary combined with a relatively high FPPG number reveals a great value. But those two figures rarely tell the whole story.

Last Thoughts On Daily Fantasy NBA Lineup Construction

The tips I’ve outlined above should become part of your draft strategy for NBA double-ups and head-to-heads. Incorporate them into your routine. For example, get into the habit of identifying studs, reviewing the latest injury report and checking Vegas odds for projected blowouts. Complete those tasks every time you enter a 50/50 or H2H.

With time, they’ll become second-nature to you. You’ll be able to build your NBA rosters more quickly and enjoy greater success competing against others for a chance to win real cash prizes.

Draftkings Strategy Nfl

Keep On Reading

The following information is an excerpt from the Contest Selection section of the Ultimate Guide, our 19-chapter DFS e-book that outlines the overlooked foundational pieces necessary to be a profitable daily fantasy sports player.

'There are a handful of certain contest types that you’ll see on both FanDuel and DraftKings. In this section, we’ll tell you exactly what each contest is and when you should play that type of contest. Most DFS content sites give you a quick glance as to what a H2H contest is, for example, but none will give you the level of detail that is required to be successful in DFS.'

H2H Contests:

How much of the prize pool the site keeps (rake): 6.5% - 10%
Your return on investment if you win: 1.8 - 1.9X
Percentage of field that cashes: 50%

Heads up. 1v1. Me versus you. Whatever you want to call it, Head to Head contests are the simplest to understand. Just score higher than your opponent and you’ll nearly double your entry fee.

Draftkings Head To Head Strategy Position

Some DFS players love H2H contests for the sheer competition. Others love it because it allows you to diversify your lineup across a multitude of different opponents. The rest love it because it’s the easiest contest to win.

Head to Heads are the lowest risk (and lowest reward) competitions in DFS. For this reason, they should make up a significant portion of your bankroll allocation if you’re driving a long-term, slow-earning investment vehicle.

When to play H2H:

Because of the volatility of a 1-on-1 matchup, it’s never wise to invest your entire daily allocation into one Head to Head contest. For example: If you have a Beginner or Starter bankroll, and you’re spending 2 percent of your roll on tonight’s slate, you should never play just one $2 H2H contest. Instead of using your entire daily investment against multiple players, your winnings now rely on a single opponent. This isn’t ideal.

As a rule of thumb, you should only play H2Hs if your allocation for a particular slate allows you to play against 5 or more different opponents. This will allow you to diversify your allocation against multiple sets of lineups. The more opponents you can play, the “truer” your returns will be. Look at it this way:

If your score for the night is in the 75th percentile on DraftKings, you would win 75 percent of your contests if you played every single DraftKings user in a H2H. If you only play against three opponents that night, you could win anywhere from 0 to 100 percent of your contests. This type of volatility is not what we’re looking for in Head to Heads.

In H2Hs, especially in lower stakes contests, there isn’t a ton of game theory. Simply play the best plays, and you’ll generally come out on top. There isn’t a need to look for “low-owned” guys or sleepers -- put out your best lineup, regardless of their projected ownership, and force your opponent to show that he/she also knows the best plays.

Head to Heads are always a piece of the portfolio for successful DFS players, especially the top 1 percent. Even if you’re a high-risk, high-reward player with a focus on larger paydays, H2H contests can provide stability to your bankroll and help keep you afloat during even the roughest of cold streaks.

Like what you read and want a breakdown for EVERY contest type?

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