- Rotation numbers are assigned to every possible bet you can make at a sportsbook. It is a way to identify a wager and submit your bets without confusion. For brick-and-mortar sportsbooks the.
- Know that moneyline bets only concern what team will win the game. Odds are presented as a positive or negative number next to the team's name. A negative number means the team is favored to win, while a positive number indicates that they are the underdog. Ex: Dallas Cowboys, -135; Seattle Seahawks, +135.
As a fan, you don’t care if your team wins by a point or 100. A win is a win, though that 100-point win would be a little easier on the nerves.
Push: When a result lands on the betting number and all wagers are refunded. For example, a 3-point favorite wins by exactly three points. For example, a 3-point favorite wins by exactly three points. Then there are the repetitive Master Numbers. Master Numbers are multiple numbers such as 11, 22, 33, 44, 55, 66, 77, 88 and 99. These numbers belong to the Greater Reality based on Unity rather than duality. Each Master Number is a level of initiation that we all must go through during our evolutionary journey on Earth. This would mean in order for a bet on the favored team on the spread to win they would need to win by more than 6.5 points (7 or more) in order to win the bet. It also means that a bet on the underdog team would win if the underdogs lost by less than 6.5 points (6 or less) or won the game outright. Example of NFL Spread Bet.
In sports betting, how much a team wins by is usually all that matters.
The most popular way to bet for the two most popular sports, basketball and football, is with the point spread, also known as the “side.” Most baseball, hockey and soccer bets are on the moneyline, which is betting on a team to win straight up with adjusted odds. Football and basketball have moneyline bets available too, but most people will take the point spread.
What Do The Negative Numbers Mean In Sports Betting
The concept can be a bit confusing if you’ve never dabbled in sports betting before.
Why bet with the point spread?
The point spread was created to attract more action on a game. When the San Francisco 49ers are expected to blow out the Arizona Cardinals, it’s not enticing to lay $300 to win $100 on a moneyline. But when the 49ers are 11-point favorites and each side is -110 odds? That’s much easier.
In that example, the 49ers are spotting the Cardinals 11 points before the game starts, at least for bettors. The 49ers have to win by 12 or more points to cover the spread. If the Cardinals win or lose by 10 or less, that side wins the bet. If the game lands on 11, like a 21-10 49ers win, it’s a push and all bets are refunded. If you see a -11 that means that team is favored, and +11 means you’re taking the underdog.
Nothing sharpens your math skills better than trying to figure out how big your lead as a bettor is if you have a 22.5-point basketball underdog that is losing 90-72.
The problem with the point spread can be when a team — which really doesn’t care that you bet the favorite at -11 — has a 14-point lead but gives up a meaningless score at the end to win by only seven points. They’re still happy with the win. You, as a bettor, are not.© Provided by Yahoo! Sports Sportsbooks have large boards that display point spreads for all games that day. (AP Photo/John Locher, File)
Point spreads lead to bad beats
The most infamous example of a bad beat with the point spread probably came in the 2004 Final Four at the NCAA men’s basketball tournament.
Duke was a 2.5-point underdog against UConn. The Huskies rallied late and took a 79-75 lead on a free throw with 3.2 seconds left. The game itself was over; Duke couldn’t score twice in a few seconds. But Duke guard Chris Duhon pulled up for a running 3-pointer just over the half-court line and banked it in at the buzzer. Duke lost 79-78, but bettors who had Duke and 2.5 points won. March Madness is a huge event for bettors, and reports at the time estimated that Duhon’s “meaningless” shot resulted in a $30 or $40 million swing in Nevada. UConn players celebrated at the final buzzer. UConn bettors doubled over in pain. That’s the difference between betting the moneyline and the point spread.
Baseball and hockey have point spreads too, the “run line” in baseball and “puck line” in hockey. It’s generally 1.5 with odds adjusting accordingly. Taking a big baseball favorite at -1.5 runs can make the odds more palatable. Of course, betting the New York Yankees at -1.5 to bring down the odds from -190 to -110 isn’t too fun when they win 4-3 and you don’t cash a bet.
Betting on the point spread is the most common way to wager on sports. And the first time you take a favorite that wins the game but doesn’t cover the spread, you’ll understand every bettor’s heartbreak.
It's one of the most important factors to consider when placing a wager on a particular NFL game. No, I'm not talking about which side you like, I am talking about the line you are getting. The point spread in the NFL is among the most popular sports betting options in North America, so the point of this article is to help you understand something called Key Numbers.
When you hear a handicapper talk about 'key numbers' in reference to NFL point spreads, they are referring to the most common margins of victory in NFL games. Because football is such a unique sport in the way the scoring system works, you must understand how key numbers play a role in whether your bet is graded as a winner or a loser.
If you want to be successful NFL handicapper who wins more bets than you lose, it's vital to understand the concept of key numbers in sports that allow point-spread wagering. The most important key numbers are within NFL betting. NFL games land on the key number of three more than any other number. What I mean by 'land on three' is the difference in the scores, whether it bet 30-27, 17-14, 10-7, etc. So many football games end on a game-winning field goal, which makes three the most important number. The next 'key' number in the NFL is seven, since that is the difference in games decided by a touchdown and extra point.
Related: Experts Offer 12 NFL Handicapping Tips
How Often Do Key Numbers Hit?
Three and seven are the strongest and most important key numbers, but expert sports bettors have been compiling data for years and have a list of the most common margins of victories. Here is a quick look at the Top 10 NFL key numbers:
What Do Betting Odds Numbers Mean
Three points: 15.81 percent
Seven points: 8.80 percent
10 points: 6.06 percent
Four points: 5.41 percent
Six points: 5.41 percent Madamriches.
14 points: 4.77 percent
One point: 3.93 percent
17 points: 3.85 percent
Two points: 3.58 percent
Five points: 3.15 percent
As you can see, after the first trio of key numbers (three, seven and 10), there is a huge drop off in occurrence. However, that doesn't mean that you should throw those number out the window all together. You should be wary about these numbers and understand how line movement can affect - both positively and negatively - the line you are trying to wager on.
Related: Why Point Spreads Change
What to Do with Key Numbers Pertaining to Betting
Since sportsbooks are in the business of making money, there is no chance they will allow bettors to buy points off the key numbers of three and seven for the standard 10-cent price . The value of turning a three-point line to +3.5 for the underdog or -2.5 for the favorite is too much for the sportsbooks to handle. Most books don't even allow you to buy off of three in the NFL because of the statistical advantage. For the books who do allow this, they will likely charge no less than 20 cents. So, a standard -110 line at -3 would become +3.5 or -2.5 (-130) depending on the book you are playing at.
The problem with betting the NFL is that point spreads of 2.5 or 3.5 normally don't stay available for public consumption too long. These lines are almost always bet to the key number of three, or else they go the other way and get bet off those numbers to two or four. In terms of bookies , they generally have a lot of risk when taking wagers at 2.5 or 3.5, so to be safe they normally move their lines to three unless there is very heavy action on one side of the number.
In terms of other secondary key numbers, shopping around for the best lines is always the ideal method. If you aren't afforded the luxury of being able to shop around, you may still be able to get half-points off four, six, 10 and 17 at a decent price. However, if you are in such a desperate state that you need to pay such a high-price to get a key number, passing completely on the game may save your bankroll from going up in flames.
There is an opportunity called ' middling a line ' available to bettors who lay down a wager on a specific line in hopes the line increases to buy back the other side and have the spread land somewhere in the middle.
Let's say you are looking at the Monday Night Football game between the Broncos and Raiders, which has the Broncos favored by four points, you immediately determine you are laying the points with the Broncos. As the game approaches, the public action is all over the Broncos as well and now the sportsbooks are forced to raise the odds significantly. The Broncos are now up to seven-point favorites. You now have a 'middling' opportunity. To middle, you would need to bet the Raiders +7 for the same amount as you bet on the Broncos. This is a dream scenario for bettors, and here is why.
If the Broncos win by five or six points, then your bet on them is a winner - and so is your bet on the Raiders at +7. Two wins on the same game with different lines, double the profit. However, if the Broncos win by exactly four or seven points (which are key numbers), then one of your bets will be a winner and the other will be a push, meaning you still profit. However, if the Broncos win by less than four points, you would split the bets and go 1-1. Typically, you would just lose the juice on the Broncos bet, so the win from the Raiders +7 would cancel out the loss.
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